Post by Bret Cahill
"Be that as it may, one should beware of focusing the debate solely on how
many years and months have passed without significant global warming.
Another strong el Niño could - at least temporarily - bring the long period
without warming to an end. If so, the cry-babies will screech that
catastrophic global warming has resumed, the models were right all along,
Gee, a solid frank statement, and you folks think such a statement is
Too funny! - no wonder you folks NEVER stated or talked about no warming for
So good solid honestly is now backpedaling? Well, don't you just PERFECT
embody the IPCC and Gore's of the world.
So NEVER state anything in public that you feel will weaken your position?
Sorry, us skeptics care about the truth - even if it not helping our cause!
This is what makes us different from the daily lying scumbags that post
about CAGW here day after day.
I mean day after day, year after year (for nearly 18 years), you ALL
failed to mention this pause?
The REAL question is why should we trust a science community that has FAILED
17 years to tell the public we not see warming for 17 years?
The VERY fact of being political correct is the VERY reason for rising
Even the climate gate emails spoke about this pause and not seeing the
In fact it surprising that the skeptic community did not "key in" on this
In fact its ONLY VERY recent has the skeptic community made this 17+ year
pause WIDELY known.
The result has been HUGE GAINS in the public growing skepticism about CO2
being so "evil"
Last week a well known and brilliant skeptic Dr. Ross McKitrick spoke on
The best news? He CLEARLY stats that the pause is NOT the real issue here.
The BIG issue is the 17 year failure (and continued failure) of models.
In a nutshell, the sensitivity CO2 in those models is wrong and is not
anything close to IPCC claims.
Even if some return to warming occurs (gee, it not been doing that for 17
years!), the observed NO WARMING has VERY MUCH diverged from models - in
fact as Ross points out they have diverged by MAJOR amounts and the kind of
warming required to make up for the 17 year pause will have to be
significant and be significant for MANY years. In fact the really cherry
So much warming will have to occur to re-align with models, that is next to
impossible! So in this way we can safely state that models have failed.
I believe it was another 2 years, and at that point it will not become
reasoned possibility that temperatures will re-align to current IPCC models.
As for a strong El Nino?
Given that temperatures are already lagging behind 1998 for this time of
year, with such a late start it unlikely that we see much of anything record
wise this summer.
However, the diverge from models is a GROWING problem and models simply
reflect observed temperatures WORSE BY THE DAY!!!