Discussion:
2017 US hurricane season so far
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M***@kymhorsell.com
2017-09-14 19:00:04 UTC
Permalink
SST deg C rel ~1980s:

W GMEX E GMEX S FLA EUS
AVG MAX AVG MAX AVG MAX AVG MAX
JAN 1.3757 1.9081 0.7237 1.2084 0.7269 1.2704 1.2020 1.5496
FEB 1.3944 1.8396 0.5048 0.8231 0.6483 0.8899 1.1950 1.4382
MAR 1.4068 1.8322 0.2716 0.8964 0.2944 1.1178 0.6431 1.4130
APR 1.1596 1.7790 0.2699 0.7233 0.3351 0.9462 0.8346 1.4576
MAY 0.3051 0.8364 0.0800 0.5869 0.4360 0.9692 0.8556 1.5779
JUN 0.4778 0.8701 0.2675 0.8539 0.6723 1.0884 0.9759 1.5200
JUL 0.8992 1.3780 1.0415 1.4234 1.0883 1.4477 1.4060 1.6107
AUG 0.9073 1.3383 0.9519 1.3326 0.9238 1.3116 0.9562 1.3865
SEP 0.0329 0.4233 0.4910 0.8101 0.8083 1.1381 0.6628 0.9454
(to sept 13 only)

NOTE: decreases in SST typically a result of hurricane activity in region.

-- snip --

<https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2017-atlantic-hurricane-season-records-notables>

What Has Made This Hurricane Season Remarkable So Far

Linda Lam
Sep 13 2017 02:00 PM EDT
weather.com

Hurricanes Harvey and Irma both set records this season.

And these weren't the only notable events.

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season has been exceptionally busy with
several remarkable and record-breaking events.

(MORE: Hurricane Central)

Through Sept. 12, there have been 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3
major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). This is well-above average,
given the 30-year average for the entire season is 12 named storms, 6
hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

<Loading Image...
2017 Atlantic hurricane tracks through Sept 12.

Harvey's Incredible Rainfall

Hurricane Harvey was a historic storm that was the first major
hurricane to make landfall in the US since Wilma in 2005. Harvey
made landfall on Aug. 25 near Rockport, TX, with maximum sustained
winds at 130 mph, making it a Category 4 hurricane.

<https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/903008628273287168/photo/1>

Irma's Record-Breaking Winds

Hurricane Irma was an incredibly powerful and destructive storm that
broke many records.

<Loading Image...>

Two Category 4 Atlantic Hurricane Landfalls in the US in One Year

<Loading Image...

Two Atlantic Hurricanes With Winds of 150 mph At Same Time

<Loading Image...

Three Consecutive Atlantic Named Storms Reached Category 4

Late August into Sept is the peak of hurricane season and this
year is proving to be no exception. The favorable environmental
conditions, including low wind shear and high oceanic heat, allowed
Harvey, Irma and Jose to all intensify into powerful hurricanes.

<Loading Image...>

Impressive Rapid Intensification Periods

<Loading Image...

Bret's Strange Formation

<Loading Image...

Arlene's Rare April Appearance

<Loading Image...

--
Zeke Hausfather @hausfath 13 Sep 2017 22:30Z
Another look at hurricanes and ocean temps. Almost never have Cat. 5
hurricanes with ocean temps below 82 F, or Cat. 4 below 81 F.
["Hurricane strength vs ocean temps":]
<Loading Image...>

Zeke Hausfather @hausfath 13 Sep 2017 22:30
That said, you are still much more likely to have a Cat. 1 than a Cat. 5 one
even at high ocean temps. Potential doesn't mean frequency.
["Hurricane strength vs ocean temps":]
<Loading Image...>

Zeke Hausfather @hausfath 13 Sep 2017 22:30Z
Major hurricanes (Cat 3, 4, and 5) are more likely to occur when ocean
temperatures are higher, all things being equal.
["Hurricane freq vs ocean temps":]
<Loading Image...>

Harrowing Storms May Move Climate Debate, if Not G.O.P. Leaders ...
New York Times, 14 Sep 2017 10:53Z

CPA review finds CEO overpaid and organisation 'out of touch' with members
* boss Alex Malley accused of workplace bullying
* board dragged before senate inquiry over ongoing scandal
* member anger grows as bottom line boosted by graduates resitting exams
ABC News, 14 Sep 2017 13:46Z
An independent review into the deeply troubled accountancy organisation CPA
Australia has found the former chief executive was overpaid, it had lost
touch with its members and provided questionable value for money for the
services it rendered.

Grenfell Fire Inquiry Opens Amid 'Sense of Anger and Betrayal'
[Cladding was once a frill but has now become a staple. In AUS 1000s of
buildings have been found to use flammable cladding "because it was cheaper"].
New York Times, 14 Sep 2017 13:55Z

Hurricane Jose path ambles toward East Coast
USA TODAY, 14 Sep 2017 14:02Z
[Latest gfs runs still shows the storm re-intensifying to large hurricane
and grazing the US E coast for 24-48 hrs starting around 20 Sep].

Locally severe storms to return to north-central US to end the week
AccuWeather.com, 14 Sep 2017 14:53Z

'Life-threatening' [E Pac] Hurricane Max forms as US reels from Harvey and Irma
Daily Star, 14 Sep 2017 14:54Z

8 dead after 'excessively hot' conditions in Florida nursing home
CNN, 14 Sep 2017 15:00Z

Scientists: Future of oldest tree species on Earth in peril
Santa Rosa Press Democrat, 14 Sep 2017 15:59Z

Scientists: Ash Tree Species Pushed to Brink of Extinction
US News & World Report, 14 Sep 2017 12:59Z

Philip Klotzbach @philklotzbach 14 Sep 2017 16:04Z
#Jose has weakened to a tropical storm - for the first time since August 31
the Atlantic has no hurricanes. pic.twitter.com/oq8Hqn1

Michael Ventrice @MJVentrice 14 Sep 2017 16:20Z
Models painting an ominous picture for the NE states from Hurricane #Jose;
Excellent agreement in location next Wed, though offshore
pic.twitter.com/G9SQhDX

Treasury inspector general looking into Steven Mnuchin's request for a
military jet for his honeymoon
Los Angeles Times, 14 Sep 2017 17:12Z
Bret Cahill
2017-09-14 22:24:02 UTC
Permalink
What's the definition of "record?"

You should have seen the broken records in the big banglocene.

Who cares about flood insurance premiums? The insurance industry is a bunch of weenies afraid to take risks.

Jeebus wanted to smite down St. Pete because Godless Darwinists, the Tampa Bay Times and blacks live there.
Post by M***@kymhorsell.com
W GMEX E GMEX S FLA EUS
AVG MAX AVG MAX AVG MAX AVG MAX
JAN 1.3757 1.9081 0.7237 1.2084 0.7269 1.2704 1.2020 1.5496
FEB 1.3944 1.8396 0.5048 0.8231 0.6483 0.8899 1.1950 1.4382
MAR 1.4068 1.8322 0.2716 0.8964 0.2944 1.1178 0.6431 1.4130
APR 1.1596 1.7790 0.2699 0.7233 0.3351 0.9462 0.8346 1.4576
MAY 0.3051 0.8364 0.0800 0.5869 0.4360 0.9692 0.8556 1.5779
JUN 0.4778 0.8701 0.2675 0.8539 0.6723 1.0884 0.9759 1.5200
JUL 0.8992 1.3780 1.0415 1.4234 1.0883 1.4477 1.4060 1.6107
AUG 0.9073 1.3383 0.9519 1.3326 0.9238 1.3116 0.9562 1.3865
SEP 0.0329 0.4233 0.4910 0.8101 0.8083 1.1381 0.6628 0.9454
(to sept 13 only)
NOTE: decreases in SST typically a result of hurricane activity in region.
-- snip --
<https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2017-atlantic-hurricane-season-records-notables>
What Has Made This Hurricane Season Remarkable So Far
Linda Lam
Sep 13 2017 02:00 PM EDT
weather.com
Hurricanes Harvey and Irma both set records this season.
And these weren't the only notable events.
The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season has been exceptionally busy with
several remarkable and record-breaking events.
(MORE: Hurricane Central)
Through Sept. 12, there have been 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3
major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). This is well-above average,
given the 30-year average for the entire season is 12 named storms, 6
hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
<https://dsx.weather.com//util/image/w/2017_atl_tracks_0.jpg?v=at&w=650&h=356&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0>
2017 Atlantic hurricane tracks through Sept 12.
Harvey's Incredible Rainfall
Hurricane Harvey was a historic storm that was the first major
hurricane to make landfall in the US since Wilma in 2005. Harvey
made landfall on Aug. 25 near Rockport, TX, with maximum sustained
winds at 130 mph, making it a Category 4 hurricane.
<https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/903008628273287168/photo/1>
Irma's Record-Breaking Winds
Hurricane Irma was an incredibly powerful and destructive storm that
broke many records.
<https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video_thumb/DJAewPUUIAA4Evn.jpg>
Two Category 4 Atlantic Hurricane Landfalls in the US in One Year
<https://dsx.weather.com//util/image/w/irma-harvey-split.jpg?v=at&w=650&h=356&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0>
Two Atlantic Hurricanes With Winds of 150 mph At Same Time
<https://dsx.weather.com//util/image/w/irma_jose_090817.jpg?v=at&w=650&h=356&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0>
Three Consecutive Atlantic Named Storms Reached Category 4
Late August into Sept is the peak of hurricane season and this
year is proving to be no exception. The favorable environmental
conditions, including low wind shear and high oceanic heat, allowed
Harvey, Irma and Jose to all intensify into powerful hurricanes.
<https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video_thumb/DJNwJAqUQAArScY.jpg>
Impressive Rapid Intensification Periods
<https://dsx.weather.com//util/image/w/harveyir_0.gif?v=at&w=650&h=356&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0>
Bret's Strange Formation
<https://dsx.weather.com//util/image/w/trop-origins-jun-with-bret2.jpg?v=at&w=650&h=356&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0>
Arlene's Rare April Appearance
<https://dsx.weather.com//util/image/w/arlene-2017-history.jpg?v=at&w=650&h=356&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0>
--
Another look at hurricanes and ocean temps. Almost never have Cat. 5
hurricanes with ocean temps below 82 F, or Cat. 4 below 81 F.
["Hurricane strength vs ocean temps":]
<https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJoq_-2UQAE_MTb.jpg>
That said, you are still much more likely to have a Cat. 1 than a Cat. 5 one
even at high ocean temps. Potential doesn't mean frequency.
["Hurricane strength vs ocean temps":]
<https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJoq0J4VYAAD9uG.jpg>
Major hurricanes (Cat 3, 4, and 5) are more likely to occur when ocean
temperatures are higher, all things being equal.
["Hurricane freq vs ocean temps":]
<https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJouCb0VwAEghAp.jpg>
Harrowing Storms May Move Climate Debate, if Not G.O.P. Leaders ...
New York Times, 14 Sep 2017 10:53Z
CPA review finds CEO overpaid and organisation 'out of touch' with members
* boss Alex Malley accused of workplace bullying
* board dragged before senate inquiry over ongoing scandal
* member anger grows as bottom line boosted by graduates resitting exams
ABC News, 14 Sep 2017 13:46Z
An independent review into the deeply troubled accountancy organisation CPA
Australia has found the former chief executive was overpaid, it had lost
touch with its members and provided questionable value for money for the
services it rendered.
Grenfell Fire Inquiry Opens Amid 'Sense of Anger and Betrayal'
[Cladding was once a frill but has now become a staple. In AUS 1000s of
buildings have been found to use flammable cladding "because it was cheaper"].
New York Times, 14 Sep 2017 13:55Z
Hurricane Jose path ambles toward East Coast
USA TODAY, 14 Sep 2017 14:02Z
[Latest gfs runs still shows the storm re-intensifying to large hurricane
and grazing the US E coast for 24-48 hrs starting around 20 Sep].
Locally severe storms to return to north-central US to end the week
AccuWeather.com, 14 Sep 2017 14:53Z
'Life-threatening' [E Pac] Hurricane Max forms as US reels from Harvey and Irma
Daily Star, 14 Sep 2017 14:54Z
8 dead after 'excessively hot' conditions in Florida nursing home
CNN, 14 Sep 2017 15:00Z
Scientists: Future of oldest tree species on Earth in peril
Santa Rosa Press Democrat, 14 Sep 2017 15:59Z
Scientists: Ash Tree Species Pushed to Brink of Extinction
US News & World Report, 14 Sep 2017 12:59Z
#Jose has weakened to a tropical storm - for the first time since August 31
the Atlantic has no hurricanes. pic.twitter.com/oq8Hqn1
Models painting an ominous picture for the NE states from Hurricane #Jose;
Excellent agreement in location next Wed, though offshore
pic.twitter.com/G9SQhDX
Treasury inspector general looking into Steven Mnuchin's request for a
military jet for his honeymoon
Los Angeles Times, 14 Sep 2017 17:12Z
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