Discussion:
Day 13: Global warmth still climbing
(too old to reply)
M***@kymhorsell.com
2018-08-03 06:00:33 UTC
Permalink
Only a couple days in and Aug 2018 has moved from a possible #10 (glob
sst ~.45C) to a possible #5 (glob av SST ~.50C rel 1980s) in the past
169 years.

The N Hem and particularly 30-60N have seen a rise of more than .3C
over the past fortnight, with (arbitrarily) 13 days now above +1C rel
to averages only 40y back.

Of course, the avg land temps will be warmer, maybe much warmer. Land
and weather and whatnot can be like that.

World:
20jul2018 0.446107
21jul2018 0.448816
22jul2018 0.450628
23jul2018 0.454331
24jul2018 0.469481
25jul2018 0.477973
26jul2018 0.489013
27jul2018 0.497593
28jul2018 0.506998
29jul2018 0.522234
30jul2018 0.528154
31jul2018 0.536286
01aug2018 0.541373
02aug2018 0.547879

30-60N:
20jul2018 0.969512
21jul2018 1.01885
22jul2018 1.04834
23jul2018 1.08424
24jul2018 1.14301
25jul2018 1.13094
26jul2018 1.13688
27jul2018 1.11904
28jul2018 1.13577
29jul2018 1.11793
30jul2018 1.16277
31jul2018 1.23307
01aug2018 1.27085
02aug2018 1.31667

--
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here in ...

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<Loading Image...>
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* Bloodshed in Harare as troops clash with opposition protesters
* Zimbabwe's ruling party on track for re-election, heading for huge two-
thirds majority
ABC News, 3 Aug 2018 9:03am
President Emmerson Mnangagwa has won Zimbabwe's presidential election
with 50.8 per cent of the vote, the country's Electoral Commission says.
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* 'Come clean': Parents slam 'secrecy' over meningococcal cases
ABC News, 3 Aug 2018 10:15am
A 66-year-old Hobart man is being treated for meningococcal disease in the
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Authorities have yet to determine the strain of the bacteria and the man's
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in a key Qld seat:]
Dutton and Frydenberg struggle with the currents in shark-infested waters
<Loading Image...>
ABC News, 03 Aug 2018
If Turnbull were hit with a double whammy - having to abandon the company tax cuts and unable to get the NEG - that would be a serious policy flunk, writes Michelle Grattan.

'Malicious conduct': Hanson-Young begins defamation action against Leyonhjelm
<Loading Image...>
ABC News, 03 Aug 2018
Greens senator Sarah Hanson-Young follows through on a threat to sue Liberal
Democrat senator David Leyonhjelm for defamation, saying his comments
demonstrated "hatred".
[HY's lawyers point out while what Sen L said in parliament was
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to justify his comments in parliament with more of the same may fall
under sexual harassment legislation. Some of his self-contradictory
rationalizations also may have also have been more than a little
self-incriminatory].

EU has quadrupled US soy imports in 2017
DW, 02 Aug 2018 19:55Z
When China reacted to the first round of Trump tariffs the price of
soy dropped 20%. Mr Trump was then keen to do a deal with the EU and
extracted a promise from Junkers to up soy imports from the US. But
new trade figures show EU soy imports had already risen 280% over the
prev year.

Peak coal has been reached
ABC News, 02 Aug 2018 09:24Z
Australia is seeing a trade surplus. It's all about China, with coal
exports responsible for a large chunk of the net $1.9 bn this m.
Analysis say China's coal boom is a short-term related to a decline in
hydro power. China, like many other countries, is seeing a drought at
present. New coal plants in India and China have been more than
offset by plant closures in the US and elsewhere. Peak coal has been
reached says finance journalist Alan Kohler.

Trump considers increasing tariffs on $200 bn of Chinese goods: Report
CNBC, 02 Aug 2018 16:24Z
[In related news, the Koch bros started a TV campaign several days
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trade. With the Kochs spending lots of money in the past getting Reps
elected, commentators say they're "even considering turning to the
Democrats" for the midterms].

Apple becomes first US-listed tr-dollar company
ABC News, 03 Aug 2018 05:36:23
Apple has became the first $1 tr publicly listed US company, crowning
a decade-long rise fuelled by its ubiquitous iPhone that transformed it from
a niche player in personal computers into a global powerhouse spanning
entertainment and communications.
* Apple's stock market value is greater than Exxon Mobil, Procter & Gamble
and AT&T combined
* Its value has surged more than 50,000% since its 1980 IPO
* In 2007, Chinese govt-controlled PetroChina briefly reached a stock
market value of about $1.1 tr
The tech company's stock jumped 2.8 per cent to as high as $US207.05,
bringing its gain to about 9 per cent since Tue when its reported June-
quarter results above expectations and said it bought back $20 bn of
its own shares.

Russia's Gazprom 7m exports to non-CIS countries up 5.8 pct y/y
Reuters Africa, 01 Aug 2018 16:07Z
Moscow. Russia's Gazprom said on Wed its gas exports to non-CIS
countries were up 5.8% in the first 7 ...

Naftogaz hopes Swiss court will confirm legality of arrest of Gazprom ...
Kyiv Post, 01 Aug 2018 13:07Z
Naftogaz Ukrainy hopes that the Swiss court will confirm the legality of
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Tesla Inc
NASDAQ: TSLA - 2 Aug., 1:49 pm GMT-4
343.30 USD +42.46 (14.11%) *** up 14% ***

Apple Inc.
NASDAQ: AAPL - 2 Aug., 2:00 pm GMT-4
207.90 USD +6.40 (3.18%) *** up 3.2% ***
[Wooo hooo! From a garage 42 ya Apple becomes the first $tr company!]

Air France KLM SA
EPA: AF - 2 Aug., 1:26 pm GMT+2
8.38 EUR +0.25 (3.05%) *** up 3.1% ***

Peabody Energy Corporation
NYSE: BTU - 2 Aug., 10:20 am GMT-4
42.43 USD -0.11 (0.26%) down

Exxon Mobil Corporation
NYSE: XOM - 2 Aug., 1:46 pm GMT-4
80.14 USD -0.27 (0.34%) down

ConocoPhillips
NYSE: COP - 2 Aug., 1:47 pm GMT-4
71.54 USD -0.27 (0.38%) down

Gazprom PAO
MCX: GAZP - 2 Aug., 2:23 pm GMT+3
141.55 RUB -0.59 (0.42%) down

NK Rosneft' PAO
MCX: ROSN - 2 Aug., 2:23 pm GMT+3
414.65 RUB -1.95 (0.47%) down

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
NYSE: COG - 2 Aug., 1:47 pm GMT-4
23.13 USD -0.16 (0.69%) down

Chevron Corporation
NYSE: CVX - 2 Aug., 1:47 pm GMT-4
124.09 USD -1.28 (1.02%) *** down 1% ***

Royal Dutch Shell Plc Class A
ETR: R6C - 2 Aug., 1:03 pm GMT+2
28.58 EUR -0.32 (1.11%) *** down 1.1% ***

BP plc (ADR)
NYSE: BP - 2 Aug., 1:48 pm GMT-4
43.93 USD -0.60 (1.35%) *** down 1.4% ***

Suncor Energy Inc. (USA)
TSE: SU - 2 Aug., 1:33 pm GMT-4
53.50 CAD -0.79 (1.46%) *** down 1.5% ***

BHP Billiton Limited
ASX: BHP - 2 Aug., 4:10 pm AEST
33.92 AUD -1.16 (3.31%) *** down 3.3% ***
Kym Horsell
2018-08-04 05:13:22 UTC
Permalink
Post by M***@kymhorsell.com
Only a couple days in and Aug 2018 has moved from a possible #10 (glob
sst ~.45C) to a possible #5 (glob av SST ~.50C rel 1980s) in the past
169 years.
The N Hem and particularly 30-60N have seen a rise of more than .3C
over the past fortnight, with (arbitrarily) 13 days now above +1C rel
to averages only 40y back.
Of course, the avg land temps will be warmer, maybe much warmer. Land
and weather and whatnot can be like that.
20jul2018 0.446107
21jul2018 0.448816
22jul2018 0.450628
23jul2018 0.454331
24jul2018 0.469481
25jul2018 0.477973
26jul2018 0.489013
27jul2018 0.497593
28jul2018 0.506998
29jul2018 0.522234
30jul2018 0.528154
31jul2018 0.536286
01aug2018 0.541373
02aug2018 0.547879
20jul2018 0.969512
21jul2018 1.01885
22jul2018 1.04834
23jul2018 1.08424
24jul2018 1.14301
25jul2018 1.13094
26jul2018 1.13688
27jul2018 1.11904
28jul2018 1.13577
29jul2018 1.11793
30jul2018 1.16277
31jul2018 1.23307
01aug2018 1.27085
02aug2018 1.31667
03aug2018 1.30239

While it's still 2 wks above +1C for 30-60N, this is the first day in almost 3 wks where the temp has not been an unambiguous increase on the prev 24 hrs.

From here it's 50/50 whether it hangs around for a while at +1.3C or reverses track on the prev increase .67 -> 1.3 over 19 days.
Wally W.
2018-08-04 15:16:45 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kym Horsell
Post by M***@kymhorsell.com
Only a couple days in and Aug 2018 has moved from a possible #10 (glob
sst ~.45C) to a possible #5 (glob av SST ~.50C rel 1980s) in the past
169 years.
The N Hem and particularly 30-60N have seen a rise of more than .3C
over the past fortnight, with (arbitrarily) 13 days now above +1C rel
to averages only 40y back.
Of course, the avg land temps will be warmer, maybe much warmer. Land
and weather and whatnot can be like that.
20jul2018 0.446107
21jul2018 0.448816
22jul2018 0.450628
23jul2018 0.454331
24jul2018 0.469481
25jul2018 0.477973
26jul2018 0.489013
27jul2018 0.497593
28jul2018 0.506998
29jul2018 0.522234
30jul2018 0.528154
31jul2018 0.536286
01aug2018 0.541373
02aug2018 0.547879
20jul2018 0.969512
21jul2018 1.01885
22jul2018 1.04834
23jul2018 1.08424
24jul2018 1.14301
25jul2018 1.13094
26jul2018 1.13688
27jul2018 1.11904
28jul2018 1.13577
29jul2018 1.11793
30jul2018 1.16277
31jul2018 1.23307
01aug2018 1.27085
02aug2018 1.31667
03aug2018 1.30239
While it's still 2 wks above +1C for 30-60N, this is the first day in almost 3 wks where the temp has not been an unambiguous increase on the prev 24 hrs.
From here it's 50/50 whether it hangs around for a while at +1.3C or reverses track on the prev increase .67 -> 1.3 over 19 days.
... and if it does or doesn't ....?
Bret Cahill
2018-08-05 14:25:01 UTC
Permalink
Post by Wally W.
... and if it does or doesn't ....?
You planning another Rapture?
R Kym Horsell
2018-08-05 14:39:36 UTC
Permalink
Post by Bret Cahill
Post by Wally W.
... and if it does or doesn't ....?
You planning another Rapture?
Definitely something the 21st. Or 22nd. Maybe 23rd. ...
--
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Gusty wind warnings issued in California raising concerns wildfires will spread.

[What heatwave?]
Al Jazeera Weather @AJEWeather 04 Aug 2018 15:16Z
The sun rises through the Arc de Triomphe as the heatwave continues to grip
Europe. [Geoffroy Van Der Hasselt/AFP] pic.twitter.com/JqzAVg4pMv
<Loading Image...>

Typhoon Shanshan to threaten Japan later in the new week
AccuWeather.com, 04 Aug 2018 17:58Z
Typhoon Shanshan will approach Japan later in the new week with heavy rain
and high winds. While the tropical cyclone is over the open western Pacific
Ocean ...
[At this point forecasts point at max gusts of 185 kph and tracking
directly for Tokyo].

NWS @NWS 04 Aug 2018 21:18Z
Smoke is impacting much of California and surrounding areas. Check
weather.gov for the latest forecasts, and to see if Air Quality Alerts
and/or Dense Smoke Advisories have been issued for your area.
twitter.com/NWSSacramento/...

NWS @NWS 04 Aug 2018 21:18Z
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twitter.com/NHC_Pacific/st#

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<Loading Image...>
Wally W.
2018-08-05 17:43:55 UTC
Permalink
Post by Bret Cahill
Post by Wally W.
... and if it does or doesn't ....?
You planning another Rapture?
So you don't have a reason for the OP, either.

Kym Horsell
2018-08-05 05:46:43 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kym Horsell
Post by M***@kymhorsell.com
Only a couple days in and Aug 2018 has moved from a possible #10 (glob
sst ~.45C) to a possible #5 (glob av SST ~.50C rel 1980s) in the past
169 years.
The N Hem and particularly 30-60N have seen a rise of more than .3C
over the past fortnight, with (arbitrarily) 13 days now above +1C rel
to averages only 40y back.
Of course, the avg land temps will be warmer, maybe much warmer. Land
and weather and whatnot can be like that.
20jul2018 0.446107
21jul2018 0.448816
22jul2018 0.450628
23jul2018 0.454331
24jul2018 0.469481
25jul2018 0.477973
26jul2018 0.489013
27jul2018 0.497593
28jul2018 0.506998
29jul2018 0.522234
30jul2018 0.528154
31jul2018 0.536286
01aug2018 0.541373
02aug2018 0.547879
20jul2018 0.969512
21jul2018 1.01885
22jul2018 1.04834
23jul2018 1.08424
24jul2018 1.14301
25jul2018 1.13094
26jul2018 1.13688
27jul2018 1.11904
28jul2018 1.13577
29jul2018 1.11793
30jul2018 1.16277
31jul2018 1.23307
01aug2018 1.27085
02aug2018 1.31667
03aug2018 1.30239
04aug2018 1.23511

While it looks like the N Hem heatwave has peaked, there is only 1 little problem -- the avg AUG sst for AUG has been 5% above the avg JUL SST for the past 20 years.

Still, you can be lucky...

--
The San Andreas fault line moves an average 3" per year or 47 miles in
a million years.

-- wikipedia
Catoni
2018-08-05 08:15:10 UTC
Permalink
The San Andreas fault line moves an average 3" per year or 47 miles in
a million years.

-- wikipedia


Nice for the San Andreas Fault.

How about the North American plate as a whole?
JTEM is right
2018-08-04 18:13:45 UTC
Permalink
It was warmer during the time of the dinosaurs.

They're all dead.

So, the warming killed them.



PAY A TAX ON AIR OR WE ALL DIE!








-- --

http://jtem.tumblr.com/post/176567825033
Bret Cahill
2018-08-05 14:25:49 UTC
Permalink
Post by JTEM is right
It was warmer during the time of the dinosaurs.
And warmer still in the early Big Banglocene . . .
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