2018-10-08 12:30:03 UTC
8 things you need to know about the IPCC 1.5oC report
[WRI: 1/2 a deg makes a big difference:]
08 Oct 2018
While all countries committed under the Paris Agreement to limit
global temperature rise to 1.5oC-2oC (2.7-3.6oF), major questions
remained: How can the world achieve this temperature goal? And what
happens if it doesn't?
The world's leading climate scientists, the Intergovtal Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), answered these questions and more in their
latest report released today. Nearly 100 scientists analyzed how the
world can achieve the 1.5oC goal, as well as impacts associated with
this rise in temperature.
Here are 8 findings:
1. Limiting warming to 1.5oC requires major and immediate transformation
2. The scale of the required low-carbon transition is unprecedented
3. "Limiting warming to 1.5oC" can mean different things-with
4. A 1.5oC limit to warming is not safe for all...
5. ...but risks associated with warming are substantially lower at 1.5oC
6. Emissions will need to reach net-zero around mid-century
7. All 1.5oC emissions pathways rely upon carbon removal to some extent
8. Everyone - countries, cities, the private sector, individuals -
will need to strengthen their action, without delay
Without transformation in society and rapid implementation of
ambitious emissions cuts, limiting warming to 1.5oC while achieving
sustainable development will be exceedingly difficult, if not impossible.
Even if countries fulfill their current national climate goals and
make deep emissions cuts after 2030, warming would still very likely
exceed 1.5oC given the challenges associated with dropping emissions
to net-zero in less than 15 years' time. Therefore, all countries and
non-state actors will need to strengthen their contributions without delay.
The COP decision at Paris requested countries to submit a next set of
climate commitments by 2020, so this is an important opportunity to
take bolder action. At the Global Climate Action Summit last month,
leaders from states and regions, cities, businesses and civil society
reinforced that messaging, calling on countries to "step up ambition"
and commit to strengthening their national climate plans during the UN
climate summit this Dec in Katowice, Poland.
Turning evidence into action
09 Oct Q3 $bn disasters from NOAA
09 Oct Sept US State Of The Climate from NOAA
09 Oct AUS BoM ENSO outlook
17 Oct Sept Global SOTC
~01 Nov Tesla Q3 earnings report (see V. ***@CleanTechnica
for profit estimates for the various divisions & 12c EPS;
he got the Q3 sales right :)
07 Nov Oct US SOTC
19 Nov Oct Global SOTC
06 Dec Nov US SOTC
18 Dec Nov Global SOTC
Mining sector, Morrison govt on the defensive over IPCC report
The Sydney Morning Herald, 08 Oct 2018 07:21Z
Resources companies, though, fell on the Australian Stock Exchange, led by
South32, the mainly coal miner spun-off from BHP. Its price sank 5.4 per
cent or ...
Aussie dollar falls to 32-month low, tax cuts may come sooner than expected
ABC News, 08 Oct 2018
The Australian dollar dips to its lowest level in two-and-a-half years
but the price of key exports remains high, and a senior economist says
with "more money in the coffers" the Government could announce larger
personal tax cuts and increased public spending.
LON: GLEN - 8 Oct., 12:28 pm GMT+1
324.75 GBX -0.25 (0.077%) even
ETR: SIE - 8 Oct., 12:54 pm GMT+2
104.86 EUR -0.54 (0.51%) down
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
ETR: BMW - 8 Oct., 12:54 pm GMT+2
77.06 EUR -0.62 (0.80%) down
Royal Dutch Shell Plc Class A
ETR: R6C - 8 Oct., 12:53 pm GMT+2
29.23 EUR -0.34 (1.13%) *** down 1.1% ***
ASX: STO - 8 Oct., 12:43 pm AEDT
7.35 AUD -0.11 (1.47%) *** down 1.5% ***
BHP Billiton Limited
ASX: BHP - 8 Oct., 12:43 pm AEDT
34.80 AUD -0.70 (1.97%) *** down 2% ***
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group
ASX: ANZ - 8 Oct., 4:10 pm AEDT
26.99 AUD -0.73 (2.63%) *** down 2.6% ***
NK Rosneft' PAO
MCX: ROSN - 8 Oct., 2:08 pm GMT+3
481.00 RUB -22.00 (4.37%) *** down 4.4% ***
Warm Arctic, increased winter sea-ice growth?
In the near-term, Arctic sea ice that has thinned through the summer
could see more growth during winter, a new study suggests. The
researchers use model simulations to show that sea ice that is thin at
the end of the summer will likely gain more thickness during winter
than thicker, more insulated ice. In the longer-term, however, a
rapidly warming Arctic will "overwhelm" this negative feedback, the
researchers say, causing declines in winter sea ice growth.
-- Geophysical Research Letters
Climate watchdog: halt global warming - ride an electric scooter
Jonathan Leake, Sun Times
Morrison says Australia won't provide more money for global climate fund
Paul Karp, The Guardian
Why cyber attack is the biggest risk for energy companies
Nick Butler, Financial Times
Global warming changing the ecosystem at top of Mount Fuji
Sir David Attenborough optimistic US will return to Paris climate agreement
Press Association via Belfast Telegraph
Delhi's average temperature spikes 1 degree, Kolkata 1.2 degrees
Swiss startup Climeworks turns carbon dioxide into stone
Akshat Rathi, Quartz
Thousands of anti-coal protesters celebrate German forest's reprieve
Agence France-Press via The Guardian
Brazil's election and the threat to environmental protection
Lauro Marins, Financial Times
Trump to announce pro-ethanol measure on Tue ahead of Iowa trip: sources
Fossil Fuel Companies Knew How Hard Keeping to IPCC's 'Unprecedented'
1.5C Limit Would Be - And Did Nothing
Mat Hope, DeSmogUK
New IPCC special report faces stark emissions reality
Andrew Freedman, Axios
Aus govt resists call to withdraw from Paris but also meaningful action
The Guardian, 08 Oct 2018 09:18Z
There is no shortage of political opposition to meaningful climate action
[from US President Donald Trump to Brazil's far-right populist Jair Bolsonaro].
And this morning Australia's prime minister Scott Morrison has put himself
firmly in that category.
Speaking before the IPCC report was released he said there was no money for
"global climate conferences and all that nonsense."
European Commission @EU_Commission 08 Oct 2018 10:12Z
We are at the forefront of addressing the root causes of #ClimateChange. We
welcome the @IPCC_CH report on 1.5° C global warming limit - providing a
timely input for our strategy on long-term EU emissions reductions, to be
presented in Nov europa.eu/!Tf74wg pic.twitter.com/Up19PlV...