2018-12-29 09:00:04 UTC
2018 Likely to be 4th Hottest; But 2019 Might Break All Records
26 Dec 2018
According to NASA's global monitoring division, the period of Dec
2017 through Nov 2018 was the fourth hottest such time ever
measured in the global climate record. Starting in 1880, the measure
now spans 138 years. And it marks a period of unprecedented rapid
change in the Earth's climate system - driven primarily by fossil fuel
burning and the resulting emission of heat trapping gasses into the
Global temperatures 2018 NASA
(The above graphic provided by NASA GISS shows the ongoing monthly
warming trend since 1880. Recent record hot years show up in
red. Present 2018 dates and temperatures are indicated by the black
dots and red line near the top of the graph. Image source: NASA.)
NASA's monitor shows 2018 hitting 0.82 degrees Celsius above its own
mid 20th Century baseline for the 12 month time-frame. This puts 2018
about 1.04 C above 1880s averages in the Dec to Nov period
composing NASA's climate year. 2018 is now on track to be the fourth
hottest year behind 2016 (#1), 2017 (#2), and 2015 (#3). As a result,
every year of the past 4 years represents the hottest years ever
recorded since consistent measurements began more than a century ago.
According to every major climate monitoring agency, the uncontested
driver of this warming trend is an ongoing and growing fossil fuel
based greenhouse gas emission. During 2018, atmospheric carbon dioxide
levels rose to an average near 410 parts per mn and carbon
dioxide equivalents, a measure taking into account all greenhouse
gasses, hit near 495 parts per mn. This level of heat trapping
gasses is unprecedented for at least the past 18 mn years and
will result in significant continued warming if they remain or keep rising.
Looking forward, an emerging El Nino combined with these high and
rising levels of heat trapping gasses has the potential to produce
record global temperatures during 2019. According to NOAA, sea surface
temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific are presently in the El Nino
range and the climate monitor is predicting a 90% chance of
official El Nino formation during the winter of 2018 with a 60 percent
chance for its continuance during spring.
(Video blog providing in-depth analysis of NASA's most recent global temperature update.)
El Nino is the hot end of the natural variability scale. When combined
with rising atmospheric greenhouse gasses trapping more heat in the
Earth system, it has tended to produce record hot or near record hot
years. 2016 saw a very strong El Nino along with a major new global
temperature milestone in the range of 1.21 C above 1880s
averages. Though the 2019 El Nino is predicted to be milder than the
2016 event, high and rising greenhouse gasses means that a new record
could be breached with temperatures likely to hit a range between 1.17
C and 1.3 C.
With present temperatures now well outside the typical range for the
past 10,000 years following the last ice age, each additional 0.1 C of
warming is likely to bring additional impacts on top of the more
severe weather, worsening fires, rising seas, and ocean health impacts
we have already seen. It is thus the case that the age of human caused
climate change is upon us and that escalating climate action is needed
to prevent a quick ramp to catastrophic events.
07 Jan 2019 2018 report NOAA
08 Jan 2019 $bn disasters Q4 NOAA
Assaad Razzouk @AssaadRazzouk 26 Dec 2018 18:30Z
[Weather-related insurance claims:]
Gavin Schmidt @ClimateOfGavin 23 Dec 2018 21:37Z
[Sources of GW:]
Robert Rohde @RARohde 23 Dec 2018 13:16Z
[Another comparason of the series:]
Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf 22 Dec 2018 17:17Z
[Avg of ~2000 temp proxies 1AD-present:]
[Fossil subsidies $ per person:]
Libyan oil revenue dips to $2.4 bn in Nov, Energy News, ET ...
indiatimes.com, 28 Dec 2018 19:38Z
Dubai. Libya's oil and gas revenue dipped to $2.4 bn in Nov from
$2.87 ... Last week, NOC declared force majeure at its biggest oil field
after it was taken ... Oil companies setting up 60 LPG bottling plants under
PPP mode .... It had reported a net loss of Rs 3,633 crore in 2015-16 due to
a sharp drop in oil prices.
'Embarrassing' and 'inappropriate': One of the most decorated former US Army
generals blasts Trump's Iraq visit
Business Insider, 28 Dec 2018 20:18Z
Flying rideshare taxis could be in Australia 'within 5 years'
ABC Sunshine Coast, 28 Dec 2018 20:55Z
Plans to bring low-flying air taxi services to Australian cities by
companies such as Uber are credible and could be in place within 5 years,
the Civil Aviation Safety Authority says.
Congo President bans voting in opposition stronghold due to potential Ebola
ABC News, 28 Dec 2018 21:48Z
Almost a mn people are denied the right to vote in the country's first
democratic elections, as President Joseph Kabila contradicts his own health
officials and experts with the World Health Organisation in saying the Ebola
threat makes voting too dangerous.
[Activists say outgoing Pres Kabila is trying to rig the vote so he
can maintain power behind the scenes. They say they will risk death
from ebola and have damaged polling places and govt premises in
protest at being denied the right to vote. Unf that caused people with
the virus that had been held in isolation to flee].
Heatwave conditions continue to sweep across Australia
ABC News/AM, 28 Dec 2018 21:57Z
Temperature records are dropping like flies across the country as heatwave
conditions sweep across our wide, brown land from the North-West to the ...
Powerhouse 3.0 Solar Shingles Head To The Roof
CleanTechnica, 29 Dec 2018 00:05Z
The snail-slow solar shingle race is moving once again, as Real Goods Solar
accepts the first of its $127 mn ...
FEMA revives flood insurance sales after backlash
POLITICO, 29 Dec 2018 00:07Z
The move was a swift change of course after FEMA said that insurers should
no longer sell new policies backed by the flood insurance program during the ...
FEMA and the govt shutdown: Home sales could stall if no federal flood
CBS News, 29 Dec 2018
A prolonged shutdown of FEMA's flood insurance could leave up to 40000 homes
unsold per month, real estate group warns.
Donald Trump: Katy Tur accuses president of military pay rise lie
News.com.au, 29 Dec 2018 02:03Z
Russia builds border fence between Crimea and Ukraine proper
Al Jazeera English, 29 Dec 2018
Crimea's de facto authorities say the fence aims to protect the peninsula's
population from Kiev's 'crazy antics'.
Acclaimed Israeli author Amos Oz dies aged 79
ABC News, 29 Dec 2018 05:09Z
Israeli author Amos Oz, one of the country's most widely acclaimed writers
and a pre-eminent voice in its embattled peace movement, has died after a
battle with cancer, his family announces.
Sears wins reprieve from liquidation as Chairman Lampert makes last-minute
$4.4 bn bid on bankrupt company
CNBC, 29 Dec 2018 02:09Z
Dept store chain Sears won a reprieve from liquidating Fri after
its chairman, Eddie Lampert, submitted a $4.4 bn bid in an effort to
buy the retailer ...
Elon Musk and Tesla have 'outmaneuvered' the SEC, says management guru Jeff
CNBC, 29 Dec 2018 00:09Z
Tesla appointed an Elon Musk "clone" in Larry Ellison, says Yale's Jeff
Sonnenfeld. "The SEC has been had on this one."
Lion Air co-pilot's family sues Boeing over fatal crash
ABC News, 29 Dec 2018 01:45Z
The family of the Indonesian co-pilot of a Lion Air flight that crashed in
Oct, killing all 189 on board, files a wrongful death lawsuit against
Boeing in Chicago, adding to litigation piling up against the manufacturer
in its hometown.
Wells Fargo Agrees to Pay $575 Million to Resolve State Investigations
The New York Times, 28 Dec 2018 17:47Z
Wells Fargo has agreed to pay $575 mn to resolve investigations by all
50 states and Washington, D.C., into a range of practices, the latest
chapter in the ...
NASDAQ: TSLA - Closed: 28 Dec, 4:00 pm GMT-5
333.87 USD +17.74 (5.61%) *** up 5.6%!! ***