AlleyCat
2024-05-09 05:00:18 UTC
1997: Warmest Year of The Century
16.92°C (62.45°F)
2023: Hottest Year On Record
14.98°C (58.96°F)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNGDP94XUAAW29o?format=jpg&name=medium
I just received a reply from NOAA on the discrepancy.
They're telling me that the 62.45°F value for 1997 would be equivalent to
57.90°F today ???
One email: 20 pages & 18 attachments to explain it.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNG2UMaXIAAQ42D?format=jpg&name=large
So basically they admit to manipulating data any way they want... what a fraud.
So now the data is truly being cooked to meet the narrative. This isn't
science. This is CYA and retention of either job or tenure.
Scientists have fallen this low? I'm staggered. Corruption.
Temperature can't be changed by magic because the damn model would be wrong!!
They are such fools though, aren't they? They've just admitted they didn't know
the Earth's average temperature to within an accuracy of 4.55F. They report to
the nearest hundredth of a degree when the accuracy of their measurements is
±5F.
Gobbledegook.
Hello, Thanks for your feedback and inquiry. The short answer to your question
is that both claims are relevant for the time reported. By that, I mean that
there has been some significant advances in how global temperatures are
calculated (that I will go into in more detail below), and those changes have
actually made the temperatures cooler over how we calculated things in the
1990s, and so everything is relative. If we had not changed those methodologies
then the temperatures reported today would have far exceeded what was reported
back in 1998, but since science continues to make progress, it is better to use
newer and more accurate methodologies. So, while a NY Times article from 1998,
the science has progressed significantly since then, and so when we report that
2023 was the warmest year on record, that would be true under either
methodology. So, in 1997, what we reported was correct (although today that
62.45°F value would be 57.90°F) and for 2023 that value is 59.16°F; and so it
is all relative, but 2023 was quite a bit warmer than 1997 whichever
methodology one chooses to use. So while articles in the NY Times archive are
interesting, the science continues to progress.
We're actually NOT TO USE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES as you might like to see because
in climate, long term departures are more significant. That said, the global
temperature anomaly for 2023 was +1.19°C, and in comparison to the long term
average baseline temperature from 1901-2000 is 13.90°C (57.02°F); and so that
would make the average global temperature for 2023 to be 15.09°C (59.16°F). You
can find all annual global values from 1850-2023 at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/
access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time- series; and yes, humans have
effected the rate of change which I will go into in more detail below. So, if
you add 13.90°C to any of our annual anomaly values, that will give you the
average annual temperature for any year from 1850-2023; if you want an Excel
file spreadsheet with those values, I can...
=====
May:
Heavy May Snow Hits the Sierra Nevada
Concordia Below -70C (-94F) for 10-Days
Cooling In The Tropical Pacific
Vostok's Coldest April Since 1999
Global Temperature Expected To Fall In May
Tonga Eruption Responsible For Toasty 2023 (nyah nyah!)
Missing Spring In Jackson, WY
Cool Summer Forecast For Much Of The Northern Hemisphere
Record May Cold Sweeps India
Rare April Cold Hits Antarctica (-112F)
Heavy Spring Snow Traps 1,000 Vehicles In Northern India
Wild Swings In New Jersey
The Wind Didn't Blow As Hard In 2023
April:
(An end of snow) Avalanche Hits Kashmir
Mid-May Frosts Forecast For Europe
Prairies Plantings To See Snow Delay
UK Breaks Long-Standing Cold Record
Heavy Spring Snow Sweeps Northern India
Antarctica To -77C (-106.6F)
Another Meter Of Snow Hits The Alps
Europe's Crop Losses Worsen - "The Biggest Disaster Of The Last 100 Years"
Frost Damage Reported From France To Ukraine
Growers In Canada And Northeast Also Suffer
Australia To Shiver Into May, Defying BoM Predictions
Record Cold Strikes Northern Ontario
Rare April Snow Continues Across Europe
Europe Breaks Historic Low Temperature Records As Rare Spring Snow Falls on
Major Cities
Norwegian Ski Resort on For Bumper Summer Season
Europe Freezes
No Spring In Sight For Much of Russia
Temperatures Are Falling Globally
Feet of Spring Snow Pound Colorado
U.S. Braces For Record April Cold
Socal's Back-To-Back Bumper Snow Seasons
Cold And Snow To Persist Into May Across Europe
Scabbard on For Cold April
Switzerland's Snow Matches Historic 1974-75 Season
Heavy Snow Slams Northwestern Iran
Europe Braces For Spring Freeze
Another Three Avalanche Deaths In The Alps
Indian State Suffers Coldest April Day on Record
Today's Arctic Sea Ice Extent Matches 1996
Snow Remains In Northern India
54 Spots
NZ's Record-Cold March
Rare April Snow Hits Bay Area
More Snow For Midwest/New
Scandinavia Extends Historic Cold Spell, As Europe Sets Snow Records
Feet Of Spring Snow Pound Colorado
Southern Cal's Back-To-Back Bumper Snow Seasons
Svalbard On For Cold April
Indian State Suffers Coldest April Day On Record
The Arctic Was Warmer In The 1920s
Germany Regrets Disbanding Nuclear Plants, It Was A "Mistake"
Yukon Snowpack Breaks Records
Early Snows Hit Australia's Ski Fields
It's Still Snowing On Kilimanjaro... Al Gore Was Wrong (as usual)
Alyeska Exceeds 700 Inches
Rare April Snow Hits Boise
Montreal's Snowiest April Since 2010
Clearing Crews Reach Baralacha
Antarctica At -75.8C (-104.4F)
Alta Posts Rare Back-To-Back 600+ Inch Winters
Indian Army Rescues 80 Trapped By Spring Snowfall
Remarkable Antarctic Sea Ice Recovery
April Nor'Easter Drops Feet Of Snow
600,000 Lose Power As 'Spring' Storm Batters Quebec
Avalanche Hits Helicopter In The Alps, Killing 3
Scandinavia Breaks Historic Low Temperature Stretch
New Zealand's Record-Cold March
Rare April Snow To Dust Bay Area Peaks
More Snow For The Midwest/Northeast
Scandinavia Extends Spell Of Historic April Cold, As Europe's Mountain Snow
reaks Records
Sweden Sets Coldest April Temperature
Swiss Avalanche Kills 3
Utah Snowpack At 132%, California Defies The 'Experts'
Anchorage Only 6.3" Away From All-Time Record
Colder-Than-Average March At Vostok
Antarctica Dips Below -100F
"Significant Spring Snowstorm" Takes Aim At Canada/Northern US
April Snow Builds Across Europe's Higher Elevations
16.92°C (62.45°F)
2023: Hottest Year On Record
14.98°C (58.96°F)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNGDP94XUAAW29o?format=jpg&name=medium
I just received a reply from NOAA on the discrepancy.
They're telling me that the 62.45°F value for 1997 would be equivalent to
57.90°F today ???
One email: 20 pages & 18 attachments to explain it.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNG2UMaXIAAQ42D?format=jpg&name=large
So basically they admit to manipulating data any way they want... what a fraud.
So now the data is truly being cooked to meet the narrative. This isn't
science. This is CYA and retention of either job or tenure.
Scientists have fallen this low? I'm staggered. Corruption.
Temperature can't be changed by magic because the damn model would be wrong!!
They are such fools though, aren't they? They've just admitted they didn't know
the Earth's average temperature to within an accuracy of 4.55F. They report to
the nearest hundredth of a degree when the accuracy of their measurements is
±5F.
Gobbledegook.
Hello, Thanks for your feedback and inquiry. The short answer to your question
is that both claims are relevant for the time reported. By that, I mean that
there has been some significant advances in how global temperatures are
calculated (that I will go into in more detail below), and those changes have
actually made the temperatures cooler over how we calculated things in the
1990s, and so everything is relative. If we had not changed those methodologies
then the temperatures reported today would have far exceeded what was reported
back in 1998, but since science continues to make progress, it is better to use
newer and more accurate methodologies. So, while a NY Times article from 1998,
the science has progressed significantly since then, and so when we report that
2023 was the warmest year on record, that would be true under either
methodology. So, in 1997, what we reported was correct (although today that
62.45°F value would be 57.90°F) and for 2023 that value is 59.16°F; and so it
is all relative, but 2023 was quite a bit warmer than 1997 whichever
methodology one chooses to use. So while articles in the NY Times archive are
interesting, the science continues to progress.
We're actually NOT TO USE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES as you might like to see because
in climate, long term departures are more significant. That said, the global
temperature anomaly for 2023 was +1.19°C, and in comparison to the long term
average baseline temperature from 1901-2000 is 13.90°C (57.02°F); and so that
would make the average global temperature for 2023 to be 15.09°C (59.16°F). You
can find all annual global values from 1850-2023 at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/
access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time- series; and yes, humans have
effected the rate of change which I will go into in more detail below. So, if
you add 13.90°C to any of our annual anomaly values, that will give you the
average annual temperature for any year from 1850-2023; if you want an Excel
file spreadsheet with those values, I can...
=====
May:
Heavy May Snow Hits the Sierra Nevada
Concordia Below -70C (-94F) for 10-Days
Cooling In The Tropical Pacific
Vostok's Coldest April Since 1999
Global Temperature Expected To Fall In May
Tonga Eruption Responsible For Toasty 2023 (nyah nyah!)
Missing Spring In Jackson, WY
Cool Summer Forecast For Much Of The Northern Hemisphere
Record May Cold Sweeps India
Rare April Cold Hits Antarctica (-112F)
Heavy Spring Snow Traps 1,000 Vehicles In Northern India
Wild Swings In New Jersey
The Wind Didn't Blow As Hard In 2023
April:
(An end of snow) Avalanche Hits Kashmir
Mid-May Frosts Forecast For Europe
Prairies Plantings To See Snow Delay
UK Breaks Long-Standing Cold Record
Heavy Spring Snow Sweeps Northern India
Antarctica To -77C (-106.6F)
Another Meter Of Snow Hits The Alps
Europe's Crop Losses Worsen - "The Biggest Disaster Of The Last 100 Years"
Frost Damage Reported From France To Ukraine
Growers In Canada And Northeast Also Suffer
Australia To Shiver Into May, Defying BoM Predictions
Record Cold Strikes Northern Ontario
Rare April Snow Continues Across Europe
Europe Breaks Historic Low Temperature Records As Rare Spring Snow Falls on
Major Cities
Norwegian Ski Resort on For Bumper Summer Season
Europe Freezes
No Spring In Sight For Much of Russia
Temperatures Are Falling Globally
Feet of Spring Snow Pound Colorado
U.S. Braces For Record April Cold
Socal's Back-To-Back Bumper Snow Seasons
Cold And Snow To Persist Into May Across Europe
Scabbard on For Cold April
Switzerland's Snow Matches Historic 1974-75 Season
Heavy Snow Slams Northwestern Iran
Europe Braces For Spring Freeze
Another Three Avalanche Deaths In The Alps
Indian State Suffers Coldest April Day on Record
Today's Arctic Sea Ice Extent Matches 1996
Snow Remains In Northern India
54 Spots
NZ's Record-Cold March
Rare April Snow Hits Bay Area
More Snow For Midwest/New
Scandinavia Extends Historic Cold Spell, As Europe Sets Snow Records
Feet Of Spring Snow Pound Colorado
Southern Cal's Back-To-Back Bumper Snow Seasons
Svalbard On For Cold April
Indian State Suffers Coldest April Day On Record
The Arctic Was Warmer In The 1920s
Germany Regrets Disbanding Nuclear Plants, It Was A "Mistake"
Yukon Snowpack Breaks Records
Early Snows Hit Australia's Ski Fields
It's Still Snowing On Kilimanjaro... Al Gore Was Wrong (as usual)
Alyeska Exceeds 700 Inches
Rare April Snow Hits Boise
Montreal's Snowiest April Since 2010
Clearing Crews Reach Baralacha
Antarctica At -75.8C (-104.4F)
Alta Posts Rare Back-To-Back 600+ Inch Winters
Indian Army Rescues 80 Trapped By Spring Snowfall
Remarkable Antarctic Sea Ice Recovery
April Nor'Easter Drops Feet Of Snow
600,000 Lose Power As 'Spring' Storm Batters Quebec
Avalanche Hits Helicopter In The Alps, Killing 3
Scandinavia Breaks Historic Low Temperature Stretch
New Zealand's Record-Cold March
Rare April Snow To Dust Bay Area Peaks
More Snow For The Midwest/Northeast
Scandinavia Extends Spell Of Historic April Cold, As Europe's Mountain Snow
reaks Records
Sweden Sets Coldest April Temperature
Swiss Avalanche Kills 3
Utah Snowpack At 132%, California Defies The 'Experts'
Anchorage Only 6.3" Away From All-Time Record
Colder-Than-Average March At Vostok
Antarctica Dips Below -100F
"Significant Spring Snowstorm" Takes Aim At Canada/Northern US
April Snow Builds Across Europe's Higher Elevations