k***@gmail.com
2024-10-07 18:16:02 UTC
I'm doing some work for a legal group that wanted to know just how
much evidence pointed to fossil pollution's links to heart attack
deaths. I like to do these kinds of things pro bono because that's
the way I was programmed. ;)
The client pointed me to some EPA links and a couple articles this one:
~ ~ ~ ~
Study: An estimated 135 mn premature deaths linked to fine particulate
matter pollution between 1980 and 2020
by Nanyang Technological University
Between 1980 and 2020, estimated 135 mn premature deaths linked to
fine particulate matter pollution The total PM[2.5]-attributable (a-f
and g) premature deaths and (h, i-n) incidence in different countries
during 1980รข2020. Credit: Environment International (2024). DOI:
10.1016/j.envint.2024.108587
A study led by researchers from Nanyang Technological University,
Singapore (NTU Singapore) revealed that fine particulate matter from
1980 to 2020 was associated with approximately 135 mn premature
deaths globally. The findings were published in April in the
peer-reviewed journal Environment International.
...
~ ~ ~ ~
And the AI programs I've been developing over the past few years to
help verify such things quickly found many many links. The strongest
ones seemed to point to a majority of heart attack deaths in e.g. the
US being linked with the density of diesel vehicles. If you live in a
state with more diesel vehicles whether cars or ag machinery you are
much more likely to die from a heart attack than states with low
numbers of diesel vehicles. There is also a link with asthma, stroke,
and cancer. But the heart attack link is the strongest:
States like: reg diesel mv Heart attack Linear model prediction
per 1000s km2 deaths per 100k
Wyoming 6.59174 95.84 91.1627
North.Dakota 24.3938 93.1 91.3207
Nebraska 36.3737 90.98 91.4271
Maine 79.2751 87.35 91.8079
South.Carolina 120.379 88.3333 92.1727
Kentucky 164.183 92.9 92.5616
Idaho 178.335 82.1 92.6872*(pred a little high)
Vermont 188.747 99.6 92.7796*(pred a little low)
New.Jersey 197.753 87.3 92.8595
Maryland 214.733 99.1 93.0103
Wisconsin 280.006 91.3 93.5896
Michigan 302.954 100.5 93.7933
Arizona 330.902 89.9 94.0414
New.Hampshire 379.914 85.4 94.4765*(high)
Washington 401.809 85.1 94.6708*(high)
Virginia 472.302 89.35 95.2965
Indiana 597.958 103.2 96.4119*(low)
Delaware 651.466 105.8 96.8868*(low)
Pennsylvania 772.113 101.8 97.9577
Ohio 828.625 111.1 98.4594*(low)
District.of.Columbia 4526.17 128.6 131.28
(The table is binned by diesel mv density so a couple heart attack
capitals like Oklahoma and Tennessee are grouped in with other
states. DC just stands out at the bottom because it is so small and
(therefore) the diesel MV density is so large so it can't be grouped
in with another state; that doesn't affect the result).
MODEL:
y = 8.876320e-03*x + 9.110422e+01
beta in 0.00887632 +- 0.00275462 90% CI
alpha in 91.1042 +- 2.91781
T-test: P(beta>0) = 0.999989
Rank test: calculated Spearman corr = 0.446753
Crit val = 0.368000 2-sided at 5%; reject H0:not_connected
r2 = 0.62034492
Net result: 2 stat tests are 95% sure or better (the T-test is
"certain" :) that up to 60% of heart attack deaths relate to the
density of particulate emitting diesel vehicles are registered in the
state. For each 1000 diesel MV per km2 there are 8.9+-2.8 more heart
attack deaths per 100k population (roughly 10% more).
For asthma it's 57%; all cancers 36%; stroke 20%.
Quite a burden.
--
[Humans == 40 Gt CO2/yr; volcanoes <0.1 Gt/yr].
Global carbon dioxide emission to the atmosphere by volcanoes
Volcanic CO2 presently represents only 0.22% of anthropogenic emissions but
may have contributed to significant "greenhouse" effects at times in Earth
history.
-- Science Direct
In 2022, fossil fuel subsidies in the United States totaled $757 bn,
according to the International Monetary Fund.
-- EESI.org, 30 Jan 2024
[Around $6900 per US household pa].
During this period, the US made an annual average revenue of 136.9
bn USD through the production and marketing of fossil fuel
products.
-- statista.com, 29 Apr 2024
Climate crimes must be brought to justice
UNESCO 26 June 2023
Climate denial has increased the risk of catastrophic global change. Should
international criminal law be used against those who promote ...
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Will Hurricane Milton hit Miami? NHC says Milton is expected to become a
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evacuations.
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[Buyout!]
Buyout blueprint on the way - Emergency Management and Recovery Minister
Mark Mitchell
rnz, 07 Oct 2024 05:22Z
Low-lying south Dunedin was among the worst-hit areas. Mayor Jules Radich
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McGill Students Advocate For Environmental Reform at Montreal's Climate March
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throughout the city demanding better solutions to the climate crisis.
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United for Climate Justice (UCJ) has held a protest in Brussels urging EU
leaders to put an end to state funding of fossil fuels.
[Milton:]
Milton increases to a Category 2 hurricane as Florida prepares for massive
evacuations
AP, 07 Oct 2024 10:20Z
South Florida cities declare states of emergency ahead of heavy rain and
Hurricane Milton
CBS Miami, 07 Oct 2024 01:14Z
Florida races to clear Helene debris ahead of Hurricane Milton
MSNBC News, 06 Oct 2024 19:41Z
Florida is working to clear debris from Hurricane Helene ahead of Hurricane
Milton. Gov. Ron DeSantis warned that storm surge could be worse...
Forecasters tracking hurricanes Kirk, Leslie in Atlantic
FOX Weather, 06 Oct 2024 11:40Z
While all eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico where Tropical Storm Milton is
expected to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane, forecasters are also
tracking...
Ghostly Glow of a Nuclear Power Station Was Detected in Pure Water 150 Miles
Away
ScienceAlert, 07 Oct 2024 05:44Z
much evidence pointed to fossil pollution's links to heart attack
deaths. I like to do these kinds of things pro bono because that's
the way I was programmed. ;)
The client pointed me to some EPA links and a couple articles this one:
~ ~ ~ ~
Study: An estimated 135 mn premature deaths linked to fine particulate
matter pollution between 1980 and 2020
by Nanyang Technological University
Between 1980 and 2020, estimated 135 mn premature deaths linked to
fine particulate matter pollution The total PM[2.5]-attributable (a-f
and g) premature deaths and (h, i-n) incidence in different countries
during 1980รข2020. Credit: Environment International (2024). DOI:
10.1016/j.envint.2024.108587
A study led by researchers from Nanyang Technological University,
Singapore (NTU Singapore) revealed that fine particulate matter from
1980 to 2020 was associated with approximately 135 mn premature
deaths globally. The findings were published in April in the
peer-reviewed journal Environment International.
...
~ ~ ~ ~
And the AI programs I've been developing over the past few years to
help verify such things quickly found many many links. The strongest
ones seemed to point to a majority of heart attack deaths in e.g. the
US being linked with the density of diesel vehicles. If you live in a
state with more diesel vehicles whether cars or ag machinery you are
much more likely to die from a heart attack than states with low
numbers of diesel vehicles. There is also a link with asthma, stroke,
and cancer. But the heart attack link is the strongest:
States like: reg diesel mv Heart attack Linear model prediction
per 1000s km2 deaths per 100k
Wyoming 6.59174 95.84 91.1627
North.Dakota 24.3938 93.1 91.3207
Nebraska 36.3737 90.98 91.4271
Maine 79.2751 87.35 91.8079
South.Carolina 120.379 88.3333 92.1727
Kentucky 164.183 92.9 92.5616
Idaho 178.335 82.1 92.6872*(pred a little high)
Vermont 188.747 99.6 92.7796*(pred a little low)
New.Jersey 197.753 87.3 92.8595
Maryland 214.733 99.1 93.0103
Wisconsin 280.006 91.3 93.5896
Michigan 302.954 100.5 93.7933
Arizona 330.902 89.9 94.0414
New.Hampshire 379.914 85.4 94.4765*(high)
Washington 401.809 85.1 94.6708*(high)
Virginia 472.302 89.35 95.2965
Indiana 597.958 103.2 96.4119*(low)
Delaware 651.466 105.8 96.8868*(low)
Pennsylvania 772.113 101.8 97.9577
Ohio 828.625 111.1 98.4594*(low)
District.of.Columbia 4526.17 128.6 131.28
(The table is binned by diesel mv density so a couple heart attack
capitals like Oklahoma and Tennessee are grouped in with other
states. DC just stands out at the bottom because it is so small and
(therefore) the diesel MV density is so large so it can't be grouped
in with another state; that doesn't affect the result).
MODEL:
y = 8.876320e-03*x + 9.110422e+01
beta in 0.00887632 +- 0.00275462 90% CI
alpha in 91.1042 +- 2.91781
T-test: P(beta>0) = 0.999989
Rank test: calculated Spearman corr = 0.446753
Crit val = 0.368000 2-sided at 5%; reject H0:not_connected
r2 = 0.62034492
Net result: 2 stat tests are 95% sure or better (the T-test is
"certain" :) that up to 60% of heart attack deaths relate to the
density of particulate emitting diesel vehicles are registered in the
state. For each 1000 diesel MV per km2 there are 8.9+-2.8 more heart
attack deaths per 100k population (roughly 10% more).
For asthma it's 57%; all cancers 36%; stroke 20%.
Quite a burden.
--
[Humans == 40 Gt CO2/yr; volcanoes <0.1 Gt/yr].
Global carbon dioxide emission to the atmosphere by volcanoes
Volcanic CO2 presently represents only 0.22% of anthropogenic emissions but
may have contributed to significant "greenhouse" effects at times in Earth
history.
-- Science Direct
In 2022, fossil fuel subsidies in the United States totaled $757 bn,
according to the International Monetary Fund.
-- EESI.org, 30 Jan 2024
[Around $6900 per US household pa].
During this period, the US made an annual average revenue of 136.9
bn USD through the production and marketing of fossil fuel
products.
-- statista.com, 29 Apr 2024
Climate crimes must be brought to justice
UNESCO 26 June 2023
Climate denial has increased the risk of catastrophic global change. Should
international criminal law be used against those who promote ...
Middle East feels effects of 'erratic' water cycle
The National, 07 Oct 2024 15:35Z
Climate change blamed for drying soil and rivers and extreme weather such as
floods in Libya.
Tracking Milton: Hurricane expected to intensify to Category 5 storm before
Florida hit
NBC New York, 07 Oct 2024 15:35Z
Will Hurricane Milton hit Miami? NHC says Milton is expected to become a
Category 5 hurricane before hitting Tampa and Florida, prompting mass
evacuations.
Ministers must make polluters pay in COP29 climate finance package
WebWire, 07 Oct 2024 14:56Z
One month ahead of the annual UN climate talks, COP29, in Azerbaijan,
govt ministers are being urged to ensure the principle of making
fossil fuel...
French resort ends skiing and sells lifts amid climate change threat
The Telegraph on MSN.com, 07 Oct 2024 14:50Z
The residents of a small Alpine resort have voted to close their ski lifts
for good, due to a lack of snow and mounting debts ...
Documents reveal natural gas company deceived lawmakers, residents about
'green' energy for years: 'Grossly misleading'
The Cool Down on MSN, 07 Oct 2024 15:01Z
It's much easier to talk a big game than to actually deliver. Documents
reveal natural gas company deceived lawmakers, ...
[Buyout!]
Buyout blueprint on the way - Emergency Management and Recovery Minister
Mark Mitchell
rnz, 07 Oct 2024 05:22Z
Low-lying south Dunedin was among the worst-hit areas. Mayor Jules Radich
said the prospect of a property buyout scheme was ...
National Trust 'worried' about future of 500 sites
Bristol Post, 07 Oct 2024 10:21Z
The National Trust has expressed concern about the future of its gardens,
parks and woodlands as the UK continues to face ...
Hurricane Helene's reach was shocking, another example of how climate change
'is here and now,' scientists say
Phys.org, 07 Oct 2024 11:41Z
Many people were stunned to see the intense flooding and devastation caused
by Hurricane Helene in western North Carolina ...
McGill Students Advocate For Environmental Reform at Montreal's Climate March
The McGill Daily, 07 Oct 2024 12:05Z
On Sept 27, the wider Montreal community gathered again to march
throughout the city demanding better solutions to the climate crisis.
Climate protesters in Brussels demand EU-wide end to gov't support for
fossil fuels, warning of `ecological and social collapse'
Offshore Energy, 07 Oct 2024 12:09Z
United for Climate Justice (UCJ) has held a protest in Brussels urging EU
leaders to put an end to state funding of fossil fuels.
[Milton:]
Milton increases to a Category 2 hurricane as Florida prepares for massive
evacuations
AP, 07 Oct 2024 10:20Z
South Florida cities declare states of emergency ahead of heavy rain and
Hurricane Milton
CBS Miami, 07 Oct 2024 01:14Z
Florida races to clear Helene debris ahead of Hurricane Milton
MSNBC News, 06 Oct 2024 19:41Z
Florida is working to clear debris from Hurricane Helene ahead of Hurricane
Milton. Gov. Ron DeSantis warned that storm surge could be worse...
Forecasters tracking hurricanes Kirk, Leslie in Atlantic
FOX Weather, 06 Oct 2024 11:40Z
While all eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico where Tropical Storm Milton is
expected to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane, forecasters are also
tracking...
Ghostly Glow of a Nuclear Power Station Was Detected in Pure Water 150 Miles
Away
ScienceAlert, 07 Oct 2024 05:44Z