Discussion:
2 cyclones about to kick off in the Atlantic
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k***@gmail.com
2024-09-23 09:40:08 UTC
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The NOAA has marked up 2 LPA's as ready to flip into cylones.
One is lurking around the E Bay and seems set to head into
Big Bend Flordia anytime now. The NOAA marks that a 90% go.
Another big area is off W Africa and seem set to go via the Cuba,
Florida route over the next wk or 2 if it kicks off at all.
NOAA marks that 70%.

<https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5>


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Paul Aubrin
2024-09-23 12:02:20 UTC
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Post by k***@gmail.com
The NOAA has marked up 2 LPA's as ready to flip into cylones.
Two cyclones ? That's a huge number. Never seen before (before last year).
R Kym Horsell
2024-09-23 16:29:27 UTC
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Post by k***@gmail.com
The NOAA has marked up 2 LPA's as ready to flip into cylones.
One is lurking around the E Bay and seems set to head into
Big Bend Flordia anytime now. The NOAA marks that a 90% go.
Another big area is off W Africa and seem set to go via the Cuba,
Florida route over the next wk or 2 if it kicks off at all.
NOAA marks that 70%.
<https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5>
Apparently the number of days with 2 storms running has quadruled since
records of NA storms began.

In the 1800s only about 5 days a NA season would have more than 1 TS.
By 2020 that has blown out to an average 20 days a season.

The same goes for days with 3 storms running in the NA.
In the 19th cent only 2 days a season would have 3 storms
running. By 2020 that beca,e more than 8.

5 storms at the same time has also happened. But only since 1961.

6 storms at one time in the NA has only been noted in 1971.
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R Kym Horsell
2024-09-23 17:00:30 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Post by k***@gmail.com
The NOAA has marked up 2 LPA's as ready to flip into cylones.
One is lurking around the E Bay and seems set to head into
Big Bend Flordia anytime now. The NOAA marks that a 90% go.
Another big area is off W Africa and seem set to go via the Cuba,
Florida route over the next wk or 2 if it kicks off at all.
NOAA marks that 70%.
Tallahassee shifts into storm mode; sandbag sites open as possible hurricane
looms
Tallahassee Democrat, 23 Sep 2024 15:52Z


<https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/153941.shtml?cone#contents>


Man. That was another fast develoment.

At this stage the track heads straight for GA, clipping
the Big Bend on the way. At this point it's expected to
land around Thu as a cat 1 and head on up to visit
Lk Michigan for the weekend.


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[Humans == 40 Gt CO2/yr; volcanoes <0.1 Gt/yr].
Global carbon dioxide emission to the atmosphere by volcanoes
Volcanic CO2 presently represents only 0.22% of anthropogenic emissions but
may have contributed to significant "greenhouse" effects at times in Earth
history.
-- Science Direct

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R Kym Horsell
2024-09-24 00:21:52 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Post by R Kym Horsell
Post by k***@gmail.com
The NOAA has marked up 2 LPA's as ready to flip into cylones.
One is lurking around the E Bay and seems set to head into
Big Bend Flordia anytime now. The NOAA marks that a 90% go.
Another big area is off W Africa and seem set to go via the Cuba,
Florida route over the next wk or 2 if it kicks off at all.
NOAA marks that 70%.
Tallahassee shifts into storm mode; sandbag sites open as possible hurricane
looms
Tallahassee Democrat, 23 Sep 2024 15:52Z
....

Another day, another model.

Todat they are saying the storm will land as a cat 3.
3 ft of surge across the Keys.
Tallashassee looking at up to 8" of rain.
Up to 6" from the coast to Chattanooga, from Key West
to N'Orlns.

<https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/213150.shtml?rainqpf#contents>
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