Discussion:
sept 2024: UAHLT6 +.96 NEW RECORD for 16th m in a row: Roy Spencer
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k***@gmail.com
2024-10-02 17:01:15 UTC
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Roy Spencer has announced the global atm was almost 1C warmer than
the baseline (approx 1980s avg temps) setting another new record
of the 16th m in a row. The new record beats the old record set last y
by .06C. In 3rd place is 2019 at 1/2 a degree less.

The warmest Septs according the the UAH model that has to process
NOAA IR sat data to "deduce" the temp of the atm between ~3 and 10 km
above sea level (no, satellites dont use glass thermometers) is now:

Year Sept av temp 3-10km above MSL rel ~1980s:
2024 0.96
2023 0.9
2019 0.46
2020 0.41
2017 0.4
2016 0.3
2021 0.27
1998 0.27
2022 0.25
2010 0.19


--
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Paul Aubrin
2024-10-03 08:59:52 UTC
Permalink
Post by k***@gmail.com
Roy Spencer has announced the global atm was almost 1C warmer than
the baseline (approx 1980s avg temps) setting another new record
of the 16th m in a row. The new record beats the old record set last y
by .06C. In 3rd place is 2019 at 1/2 a degree less.
Look at CMIP models predictions : none of them predicted the recent
VARIATIONS. There must be something wrong in their hypothesis.


Now I'm going to discuss how we would look for a new law.
In general, we look for a new law by the following process. First we
guess it. Well don't laugh that's really true. Then we compute the
consequences of the guess to see, if this law that we guessed is right,
what it would imply, and then we compare those computational results to
nature (to experiment or experience). That is we compare it directly
with observation to see if it works. If it disagrees with experiment,
it's wrong.
In that simple statement is the key to science.
It doesn't make any difference how beautiful your guess is. It doesn't
make any difference how smart you are who made the guess, or what your
name is. If it disagrees with experiment it's wrong, that's all.

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